Vega Real vs Moca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 2
AVR
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AVR
0 - 5
UNI
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ASF
0 - 1
AVR
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CFC
1 - 1
AVR
50%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
AVR
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
MOC
0 - 2
CFC
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MOC
1 - 1
ASF
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
MOC
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MOC
0 - 0
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MOC
0 - 6
ASF
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |