Vega Real vs Jarabacoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
AVR
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 1
CFC
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 1
WAT
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
AVR
52%
23%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 0
WAT
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Jarabacoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
MOC
1 - 0
JAR
36%
30%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
JAR
2 - 1
DEP
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
JAR
4 - 0
SCR
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
JAR
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 1
UNI
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |