Vega Real vs Jarabacoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
AVR
1 - 2
CFC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
AVR
0 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 3
AVR
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 1
AVR
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
ASF
0 - 2
AVR
36%
26%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Jarabacoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
ASF
1 - 2
JAR
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SCR
0 - 0
JAR
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
JAR
2 - 2
AFC
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 1
MOC
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 1
UNI
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |