Vauxhall Motors vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
VAU
1 - 0
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
HYD
4 - 2
VAU
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
KID
2 - 0
VAU
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
VAU
4 - 4
KID
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VAU
1 - 1
HIS
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
GLO
3 - 1
WOR
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 1
GLO
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
WOR
46%
25%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
HIN
2 - 3
WOR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 2
HYD
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |