Vaughan Azzurri vs Simcoe County Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
7º
2º
34
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
98% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 29 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaughan Azzurri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 0
VAZ
35%
24%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
VAZ
2 - 0
GUE
69%
17%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
VAZ
1 - 2
BUR
71%
17%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OBD
1 - 3
VAZ
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
VAZ
1 - 0
NMI
88%
9%
4%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Simcoe County Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
5 - 0
SIM
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 4
SIM
36%
24%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 0
VAZ
35%
24%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
SIM
36%
25%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
NTN
1 - 2
SIM
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |