VAST Mykolaiv vs Metalurh Zaporizhya II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
13º
10º
16
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VAST Mykolaiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FYM
5 - 2
VAM
29%
22%
48%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VAM
0 - 1
RPH
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
VAM
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VAM
1 - 2
FKC
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VAM
2 - 0
MET
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
SST
3 - 0
MET
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MET
0 - 3
RUT
55%
20%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKK
3 - 0
MET
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MET
0 - 3
FCD
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
FCZ
3 - 0
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | 0 |