VAST Mykolaiv vs FC Nyva Vinnytsya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
53.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
13º
10º
33
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VAST Mykolaiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VAM
0 - 3
RUT
92%
6%
2%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
9 - 0
VAM
11%
15%
74%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -3 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
FCD
7 - 1
VAM
5%
11%
84%
|
47 | 10 | 37 | -3 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
VAM
2 - 5
FYM
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VAM
0 - 1
RPH
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Nyva Vinnytsya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NYV
2 - 2
SST
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
RUT
1 - 1
NYV
9%
18%
74%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NYV
1 - 0
FKK
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCD
2 - 0
NYV
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NYV
4 - 7
FCZ
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |