Carioca 1 First Round Round 3

Vasco da Gama vs Volta Redonda analysis

Vasco da Gama Volta Redonda
79 ELO 55
-6.1% Tilt -2.6%
150º General ELO ranking 955º
19º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
76%
Vasco da Gama
16.9%
Draw
7.1%
Volta Redonda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.1%
Win probability
Volta Redonda
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
-18%
-1%
Volta Redonda

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Volta Redonda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2016
AME
América RJ
1 - 3
Vasco da Gama
VAS
11%
20%
70%
79 50 29 0
31 Jan. 2016
VAS
Vasco da Gama
4 - 1
Madureira RJ
MAD
77%
17%
7%
79 53 26 0
06 Dec. 2015
COT
Coritiba
0 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
40%
28%
33%
79 78 1 0
29 Nov. 2015
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
25%
27%
48%
78 87 9 +1
22 Nov. 2015
JEC
Joinville
1 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
30%
28%
42%
78 72 6 0

Matches

Volta Redonda
Volta Redonda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2016
RES
Resende
1 - 1
Volta Redonda
VOL
51%
24%
25%
56 57 1 0
31 Jan. 2016
VOL
Volta Redonda
3 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
11%
20%
69%
54 81 27 +2
18 Nov. 2015
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 3
Portuguesa RJ
POR
49%
25%
26%
54 51 3 0
14 Nov. 2015
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 0
Volta Redonda
VOL
30%
28%
42%
55 51 4 -1
09 Nov. 2015
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 2
Resende
RES
45%
27%
28%
55 55 0 0