Vasco da Gama vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
VAS
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 2
CEA
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
VAS
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VAS
4 - 0
IFC
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 3
VAS
32%
26%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
ARN
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PPE
3 - 3
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
BAH
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
4 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |