Vasco da Gama vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRZ
29%
25%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
VAS
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 1
COT
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ATP
6 - 1
NAU
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAH
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
NAU
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRI
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ATM
5 - 0
NAU
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |