Vasco da Gama vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
VAS
7%
18%
75%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 2
VAS
12%
22%
66%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VOL
1 - 0
VAS
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 2
GOI
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VOL
1 - 0
MAC
80%
15%
6%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
MAC
71%
18%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 0
FLU
5%
16%
79%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
VAS
3 - 1
MAC
84%
13%
4%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
RES
0 - 1
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |