Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 0
GRE
37%
29%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 2
VAS
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 1
CHA
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
VAS
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FLU
0 - 1
ATP
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
PAL
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CRZ
2 - 0
FLU
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAO
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |