Varzim vs Vitória Guimarães B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 1
OLH
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEN
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEX
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VSC
0 - 0
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LEX
1 - 1
VSC
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 0
OLH
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
FAM
3 - 3
VSC
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
VSC
0 - 0
SCF
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |