Varzim vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 2
BEN
25%
26%
50%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 0
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 2
MAR
25%
26%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FEI
2 - 1
VAR
65%
23%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 2
VAR
14%
23%
63%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
LEX
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 2
REA
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 1
VIL
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
FAR
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
IMO
0 - 2
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |