Varzim vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
LEC
3 - 2
VAR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
VAR
0 - 2
MAI
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 1
VAR
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
GFC
1 - 1
VAR
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
UNM
2 - 0
GFC
34%
30%
36%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
SAN
4 - 0
UNM
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
UNM
0 - 0
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
UNM
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
UNM
2 - 0
ESP
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |