Varzim vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
56.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
VIT
5 - 2
VAR
68%
18%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
VAR
1 - 3
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
87%
9%
4%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
VAR
4 - 1
FCB
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
ACA
2 - 0
VAR
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
APO
0 - 2
SCP
37%
23%
41%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
SCP
5 - 1
LEX
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
SCP
16 - 1
APO
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
FAB
4 - 0
SCP
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
SCP
4 - 1
LGC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |