Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 3
CHA
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 1
CAS
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
SPC
2 - 2
MAF
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
VIZ
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
COV
1 - 0
SPC
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
SPC
71%
18%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
BEN
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |