Varzim vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
MAI
1 - 2
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
VAR
2 - 2
FEL
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
FEI
0 - 0
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ALV
1 - 0
VAR
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VAR
0 - 0
NAV
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
SPC
2 - 1
MOR
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
AVE
0 - 3
SPC
58%
23%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 0
MAI
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
VST
2 - 1
SPC
80%
14%
7%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 2
FCM
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |