Varzim vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ACA
3 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
SLB
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
RIO
1 - 2
VAR
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 1
ESP
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 1
SPB
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
FAR
1 - 3
SPB
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 0
SCP
23%
26%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
RIO
1 - 1
SPB
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |