Varzim vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
BEL
4 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
FCP
2 - 0
VAR
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 2
ACA
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
FAB
2 - 0
VAR
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
SPB
0 - 1
LEX
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPB
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 0
VST
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
SPB
2 - 1
UFT
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
BEL
1 - 0
SPB
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |