Varzim vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 0
RDA
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 2
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 0
SCF
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
VAR
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ANA
0 - 1
VAR
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
BEN
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 3
POR
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 2
POR
19%
23%
58%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FAF
0 - 2
POR
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |