Varzim vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
VAR
2 - 4
POR
61%
24%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VIZ
0 - 1
VAR
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VAR
1 - 0
OLH
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
GON
0 - 1
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIT
36%
30%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PEN
1 - 4
VIZ
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
OLH
1 - 1
PEN
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 1
GON
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
PEN
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIO
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |