Varzim vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 0
VAR
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPB
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
SLB
3 - 0
VAR
79%
14%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 0
ACA
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
VST
0 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BEL
3 - 0
MAR
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
SPB
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SLB
3 - 1
MAR
90%
7%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |