Varzim vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
FEI
3 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
VAR
0 - 1
RIO
35%
27%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
TRO
1 - 0
VAR
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
GON
1 - 2
TRO
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
EST
2 - 0
GON
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
GON
1 - 0
BMA
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
OLH
0 - 1
GON
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
GON
2 - 0
PEN
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |