Varzim vs Joane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VSC
3 - 0
VAR
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 3
VIZ
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LIX
0 - 1
VAR
15%
23%
62%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
FAM
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FEL
3 - 0
VAR
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 2
RIB
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ADO
3 - 1
JOA
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 1
TIR
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
JOA
3 - 1
VSC
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +7 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIZ
2 - 0
JOA
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |