Varzim vs Felgueiras 1932 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
3º
41
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
VAR
28%
28%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 1
ANA
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
VAR
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
TRO
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 1
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 0
VIA
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 3
FEL
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
FAF
0 - 3
FEL
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FEL
3 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 1
FEL
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |