Segunda Liga Round 29

Varzim vs Feirense analysis

Varzim Feirense
63 ELO 61
-14.4% Tilt -5.2%
3365º General ELO ranking 1474º
56º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
49.9%
Varzim
26.8%
Draw
23.3%
Feirense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
Varzim
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.3%
Win probability
Feirense
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Varzim
+24%
+15%
Feirense

ELO progression

Varzim
Feirense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2008
RIO
Rio Ave
0 - 1
Varzim
VAR
60%
23%
17%
62 69 7 0
19 Apr. 2008
SAN
CD Santa Clara
1 - 0
Varzim
VAR
40%
27%
33%
63 59 4 -1
13 Apr. 2008
VAR
Varzim
0 - 0
Trofense
TRO
42%
28%
30%
63 66 3 0
06 Apr. 2008
EST
Estoril
1 - 0
Varzim
VAR
51%
25%
25%
64 63 1 -1
30 Mar. 2008
VAR
Varzim
2 - 0
Beira Mar SC
BMA
38%
28%
34%
63 67 4 +1

Matches

Feirense
Feirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2008
FEI
Feirense
0 - 1
Trofense
TRO
39%
29%
32%
62 66 4 0
20 Apr. 2008
EST
Estoril
0 - 1
Feirense
FEI
57%
24%
19%
61 63 2 +1
13 Apr. 2008
FEI
Feirense
0 - 1
Beira Mar SC
BMA
38%
28%
34%
61 66 5 0
06 Apr. 2008
OLH
Olhanense
2 - 0
Feirense
FEI
49%
27%
25%
62 64 2 -1
30 Mar. 2008
FEI
Feirense
1 - 1
Penafiel
PEN
47%
27%
27%
62 62 0 0