Varzim vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
67.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
BMA
4 - 0
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 1
VST
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
SLB
3 - 2
VAR
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAL
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAR
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
BOA
2 - 0
FCP
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
FCP
1 - 2
SPB
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
54%
23%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |