Varzim vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
52.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
BOA
1 - 1
VAR
67%
20%
12%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIT
39%
30%
31%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
VAR
3 - 2
FAR
52%
27%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAR
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 0
BOA
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCP
34%
28%
38%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
FCP
7 - 1
BEL
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
FCP
6 - 0
OEL
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 1
BYM
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |