Varzim vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
51%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
PEN
1 - 1
VAR
45%
30%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAR
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
SLB
2 - 0
VAR
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
RDA
1 - 0
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1983 |
SLB
1 - 2
FCP
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
FCP
1 - 0
VST
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1983 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
PEN
0 - 1
FCP
9%
20%
70%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
FCP
2 - 0
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |