Varzim vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
49.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
ACV
4 - 2
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
11%
21%
69%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
OLH
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 5
CHA
10%
19%
72%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VSC
0 - 3
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
BEN
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |