Varzim vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
5º
30
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
VAR
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VSC
2 - 1
VAR
11%
23%
67%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
SAO
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
VAR
14%
24%
62%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
SAN
75%
18%
8%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 1
SAO
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
CAN
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 3
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 1
CAN
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 0
ANA
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |