Varzim vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
46%
27%
26%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
FCP
2 - 1
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 0
BOA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
CDM
2 - 2
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BOA
0 - 3
SLB
35%
25%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
SCP
3 - 0
SLB
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
SLB
3 - 1
VST
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |