Varzim vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
28.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SCF
1 - 3
VAR
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAN
52%
28%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
OLH
0 - 1
VAR
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
BRA
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 2
ACV
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 0
FAF
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIZ
0 - 1
ACA
33%
30%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 2
COV
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FAM
2 - 1
ACA
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |