Varzim vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
ATL
4 - 1
VAR
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
VAR
2 - 2
SCP
24%
22%
54%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
FAB
2 - 0
VAR
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
LEX
2 - 0
VAR
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
ACA
2 - 1
LEX
72%
16%
11%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
VIT
0 - 1
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
ACA
5 - 0
BMA
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
BEL
0 - 1
ACA
41%
26%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
59%
21%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |