Varzim U19 vs Mirandela U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
4º
2º
12
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 3
VAR
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
5 - 0
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TRF
0 - 2
VAR
38%
22%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
VAR
15%
18%
66%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
MER
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandela U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 2
VIL
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
MIR
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 2
CHA
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MIR
4 - 3
OSL
31%
22%
48%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
MIR
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |