Varketili II vs Merani Martvili II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
69.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varketili II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
BOR
9%
13%
78%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 3
LTB
5%
12%
84%
|
12 | 51 | 39 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 2
VAR
57%
20%
22%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Merani Martvili II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCM
2 - 3
KOL
8%
14%
78%
|
21 | 59 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCM
2 - 0
ZUG
7%
11%
82%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | +11 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 3
RVA
6%
11%
83%
|
10 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
TBI
1 - 1
FCM
80%
13%
8%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |