Varese U19 vs Cittadella U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
UDI
0 - 2
VAR
33%
25%
43%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 2
ATA
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
PAD
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAS
0 - 0
VAR
30%
24%
45%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
CHI
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Cittadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CIT
2 - 2
CHI
13%
22%
66%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 1
CIT
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CIT
0 - 2
BRE
40%
25%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VER
2 - 0
CIT
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CIT
2 - 2
BOL
15%
21%
65%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |