CD Varea vs San Marcial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.5%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.5%
5-0
9.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.4%
4-0
13.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
4.9%
1.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 4
VAR
7%
13%
80%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 3
ALA
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
4 - 1
TED
90%
7%
3%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
VAR
11%
17%
72%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 1
HAR
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SMC
2 - 1
AGO
14%
22%
64%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIA
4 - 4
SMC
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SMC
0 - 1
RIV
31%
24%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 2
SMC
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SMC
0 - 4
NAX
7%
16%
76%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | -1 |