CD Varea vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 0
VAR
30%
27%
43%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VAR
3 - 0
OYO
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ANG
0 - 3
VAR
58%
21%
20%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
VAR
3 - 1
PRA
60%
23%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ARN
1 - 1
VAR
26%
27%
47%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
RAP
2 - 1
AGO
52%
23%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
BER
0 - 0
RAP
33%
25%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
RAP
1 - 0
RIV
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
OYO
1 - 0
RAP
63%
21%
16%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
RAP
2 - 2
ANG
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |