Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 2-6
CD Varea vs Osasuna Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
OSA
3 - 0
VAR
35%
24%
42%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 2
CDE
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CDE
1 - 0
VAR
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ANG
3 - 2
VAR
22%
21%
57%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VAR
10 - 1
CAS
92%
6%
2%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
OSA
3 - 0
VAR
35%
24%
42%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 2
OSA
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
OSA
0 - 0
MAL
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
OSA
1 - 2
PEÑ
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAV
0 - 1
OSA
12%
20%
68%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |