Varde vs AGF Aarhus II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
OTB
2 - 2
VAR
54%
22%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 5
HOB
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AAL
3 - 1
VAR
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 1
TJO
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
JAM
4 - 1
VAR
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AAF
0 - 0
AGF
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AGF
3 - 4
OTB
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
HOB
5 - 3
AGF
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
AGF
1 - 0
AAL
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TJO
3 - 0
AGF
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |