Varde vs AGF Aarhus II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
AAB
0 - 1
VAR
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VAR
3 - 1
FYN
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
JAM
1 - 1
VAR
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 3
ODE
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SKI
2 - 3
VAR
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
AGF
0 - 5
SVE
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
HOB
2 - 1
AGF
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
AGF
7 - 1
IKA
33%
22%
45%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +3 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
AGF
1 - 1
AAB
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FYN
5 - 1
AGF
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |