Varde vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 1
HOL
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
RAN
0 - 2
VAR
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
4 - 0
IKA
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
VEN
3 - 1
VAR
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
SVE
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2010 |
AAF
2 - 0
IKA
51%
22%
26%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
AAF
1 - 1
ESB
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
HOL
2 - 3
AAF
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
AAF
1 - 0
VEN
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
JAM
1 - 1
AAF
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |