Varde vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VEN
3 - 1
VAR
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 4
BRA
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RAN
5 - 0
VAR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
VAR
3 - 0
ESB
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NAS
0 - 3
VAR
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
IKA
1 - 1
AAF
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
AAF
3 - 0
VEN
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BRA
0 - 2
AAF
55%
26%
20%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
AAF
1 - 2
RAN
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ESB
1 - 0
AAF
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |