Denmark Third Division Round 7

Varde vs Aarhus Fremad analysis

Varde Aarhus Fremad
46 ELO 49
10.9% Tilt 7%
21168º General ELO ranking 1566º
217º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
43.9%
Varde
25%
Draw
31.1%
Aarhus Fremad

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
Varde
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.1%
Win probability
Aarhus Fremad
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Varde
Aarhus Fremad
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varde
Varde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2008
VEN
Vendsyssel
3 - 1
Varde
VAR
34%
25%
41%
47 38 9 0
06 Sep. 2008
VAR
Varde
0 - 4
Brabrand
BRA
36%
25%
39%
48 55 7 -1
30 Aug. 2008
RAN
Randers Freja
5 - 0
Varde
VAR
39%
25%
36%
49 46 3 -1
27 Aug. 2008
VAR
Varde
3 - 0
Esbjerg II
ESB
48%
23%
29%
48 48 0 +1
16 Aug. 2008
NAS
Næsby BK
0 - 3
Varde
VAR
39%
25%
36%
47 41 6 +1

Matches

Aarhus Fremad
Aarhus Fremad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2008
IKA
Ikast FS
1 - 1
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
60%
21%
19%
50 48 2 0
06 Sep. 2008
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
3 - 0
Vendsyssel
VEN
67%
20%
13%
50 38 12 0
30 Aug. 2008
BRA
Brabrand
0 - 2
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
55%
26%
20%
48 56 8 +2
27 Aug. 2008
AAF
Aarhus Fremad
1 - 2
Randers Freja
RAN
59%
23%
19%
49 45 4 -1
16 Aug. 2008
ESB
Esbjerg II
1 - 0
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
47%
25%
29%
50 47 3 -1