Varde IF Elite vs B 1913 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
7º
18
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
VAR
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
OKS
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HED
0 - 1
VAR
68%
18%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
4 - 4
RIN
18%
21%
61%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TAR
3 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
B 1913
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 2
B19
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 2
MAR
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OKS
2 - 2
BOL
58%
20%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 2
HED
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RIN
4 - 2
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |