Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vardar Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
SKP
0 - 9
VAR
7%
14%
80%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
POB
0 - 1
VAR
23%
28%
49%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 0
SHK
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 1
SHK
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
DZG
3 - 2
VAR
68%
21%
12%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 2
SIL
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
PEL
3 - 0
BRE
28%
29%
44%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 1
REN
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 1
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 0
RAB
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |