Vardar Negotino vs Tikvesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vardar Negotino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FKK
2 - 0
VAN
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
BRE
3 - 1
VAN
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
3 - 1
VAN
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VAN
1 - 2
KGE
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FKB
1 - 0
VAN
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TIK
4 - 2
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
KGE
0 - 2
TIK
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TIK
3 - 1
FKP
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
RAB
1 - 1
TIK
74%
16%
9%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAS
1 - 3
TIK
27%
23%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |