Vard vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
KRI
1 - 2
VAR
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
STA
0 - 5
VAR
18%
20%
62%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RAN
2 - 1
VAR
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
EGE
0 - 2
VAR
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
FFK
1 - 2
SDF
55%
23%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
KRA
1 - 6
FFK
8%
14%
79%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BRY
2 - 1
FFK
26%
25%
50%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
FFK
3 - 2
HOD
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FFK
0 - 2
MFK
30%
26%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |