Vard vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 1
VAR
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
EGE
0 - 1
VAR
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
HON
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 6
HAU
12%
17%
71%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BYA
3 - 1
VAR
29%
25%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 2
EGE
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
HON
0 - 2
FRA
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
BYA
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
VIN
1 - 2
FRA
47%
22%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 2
VID
43%
23%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |